The problem isn’t a lack of housing, it’s a lot of breeding. US population has doubled since 1950. It quadrupled since 1900.
As long as people keep having babies in excess of the replacement rate, housing will always be good investment. They don’t make any more land, and the earth is, frankly, full.
Problem is absolutely lack of housing and population growth has nothing to do with it.
Average house size was about 1000 sqft in the 1900 and average household size was 5. This remained relatively the same in 1950 where the average household size was 4. These days, the average size of a house is 2600sqft and household size is 3. We have created a system where we build fewer larger houses. This is because policy (often dictated by people who already own houses) makes it impossible to build small high density housing or even if it is possible to build it, it’s not profitable.
> The problem isn’t a lack of housing, it’s a lot of breeding.
> As long as people keep having babies in excess of the replacement rate
To reiterate, the thread was about "breeding". The birth rate has fallen behind.
You are referring to the overall population growth being due to immigration. This may be true, but is unrelated. Respond to the post about why overpop is driving the housing pricing, not to the factual corrections.
> So immigrants don’t count as people, or have babies?
Births for immigrants are not counted separately. Again, the birth rate is the topic (which includes immigrant births). Granted, all kinds of residents have births outside of hospitals, but that's a tiny minority that is not counted.
This focus on immigrant vs non-immigrant is more noise in the wrong thread.
The trend is clear. The outliers from 2024 onward (which are pretty big outliers) are likely due to data not being curated correctly. The administration would be to blame for that. The US is faring better than most other western nations specifically because of immigration, so the political environment will likely have a negative downward pressure on that benefit.
It may very well also be that the way we're organizing people means they can't live densely and that's why it's full. Regardless it's full enough that there's almost no place for young people in the US economy.
7e specifically said "land". He (?) said that "the earth is full", even though the issue was the US housing supply. Well, the US has plenty of land for houses - even if people can't or won't live densely.
And whether there's a place for young people in the economy is not what's under discussion here.
As long as people keep having babies in excess of the replacement rate, housing will always be good investment. They don’t make any more land, and the earth is, frankly, full.